Monday, October 8, 2012

Movement in the polls



AAA Barry'd

CU Profs still see a Romney win

According to their updated analysis, Romney isprojected to receive 330 of the total 538 Electoral College votes. President Barack Obama is expected to receive 208 votes -- down five votes from their initial prediction -- and short of the 270 needed to win.

They go on to say their model has a plus or minus 5 states or 28 electoral votes.

Ryan’s biggest Obstacle in his debate with Biden

VP Biden has only a passing acquaintance with the truth.


Why Obama won’t do better in future Debates

Contrary to the liberal screed, it is not Romney who has trouble with the facts, but President Obama.  That is what completely disarmed him in the last debate.  Through his career, no one has been allowed to challenge him on the facts.  

To understand how hopeless President Obama's case is, one need only understand economic conditions.  Romney does, and he has the skills to communicate these issues.  Obama cannot deal with the facts, as they all go against him.  That is his problem, and it is insurmountable so long as Romney counters his false claims.



The Upcoming VP Debate

Ryan has not only youth, intelligence, and ideas on his side; Ryan and Romney both have won campaigns in which most of the voters were Democrats and independents.  Biden has no clue how to appeal to anything but the Democrat base.  Moreover, Ryan exudes confidence and optimism.  He is as close to Reagan as Republicans have had in the last quarter-century.  What does Biden exude?  Shopworn clich├ęs and smugness


NY Times reports:  Debates are something to be endured

Mr. Obama does not like debates to begin with, aides have long said, viewing them as media-driven gamesmanship. He did not do all that well in 2008 but benefited from Senator John McCain’s grumpy performances. Mr. Obama made clear to advisers that he was not happy about debating Mr. Romney, whom he views with disdain. It was something to endure, rather than an opportunity, aides said.
And it showed.



Obama Campaign keeps misquoting Harvey Rosen’s study

You’ve heard President Obama claim that taxes on the middle class would go up if Romney’s tax plan went into effect.   However, the study he uses to back this up doesn’t back up this contention.

I can’t tell exactly how the Obama campaign reached that characterization of my work.  It might be that they assume that Governor Romney wants to keep the taxes from the Affordable Care Act in place, despite the fact that the Governor has called for its complete repeal.  The main conclusion of my study is that under plausible assumptions, a proposal along the lines suggested by Governor Romney can both be revenue neutral and keep the net tax burden on taxpayers with incomesabove $200,000 about the same.  That is, an increase in the tax burden on lower and middle income individuals is not required in order to make the overall plan revenue neutral. 



Battleground Poll has Obama up by one

 

In 2008, President Barack Obama won the independent vote over John McCain by a margin of eight points, 52-44. This morning, a new Battleground Poll has Mitt Romney massacring Obama among indies by a whopping 16 points, 51-35.

That's a 24-point swing among independents since 2008, a group that makes up anywhere from a quarter to a third of voters, and yet Battleground still has Obama in the lead 49-48…?
But if I'm skeptical of those bottom-line numbers, our journalist overlords who have chosen to palace guard instead of question will declare me a "truther."
If the independents equal 33% that means the Democrats would have to outnumber the Republicans by 7% in the demographics.  If the independents equal 25% the Democrats would have to outnumber the Republicans in the poll by 6%.   Considering Democrats have a 13% enthusiasm gap that is highly unlikely.  Romney is ahead, comfortably so. 

Gallup:  Romney’s debate win biggest in history

According to a new Gallup Poll of those who watched last week's presidential debate, 72% picked Mitt Romney as the winner, while only 20% thought Barack Obama won.

That’s the biggest win in history (52%), exceeding even Bill Clinton's 42% advantage in his townhall debate over George H.W. Bush (the one where Bush checked his watch).

The numbers on Romney vs. Obama reflect those of snap opinion polls.

According to Gallup, Republicans gave him a 95% win over Obama, Independents picked him, 70%-19%, and even Democrats thought Romney won, 49%-39%.



Democrats attack Romney for his “Whiteness”
This is an attack using “Critical Race Theory” and has been used by a Professor Stephanie Li (an English professor) who has written a hit piece on Romney as the whitest man to run for president.
She avers that "scholars" in this "field" have "demonstrated" that "whiteness" is a "social identity built upon unearned entitlements."  Demonstrated!  Like physicists have demonstrated quantum theory!
Li quotes another race theorist, one Peggy McIntosh, who claims that "whiteness" is "an invisible weightless knapsack of special provisions, maps, passports, codebooks, visas, clothes, tools, and blank checks."  Li does not indicate the evidence McIntosh offers for this bizarre claim.
 What is truly “convenient” is that Romney is running against the first African American President who if someone claimed some kind of social identity built upon unearned entitlements would be labeled racist. 

Mitt Romney and Women

Amazingly, most women don’t know that Mitt had women at his side helping him turn around the Olympics in Salt Lake and fix the economy in Massachusetts.  It doesn’t surprise me because I know how Mitt puts together his team.  He hires the strongest talent he can find, so naturally he ends up with a lot of women.  Mitt says he hires people who will “go through walls” to get the job done; the women who have worked with him over the years definitely fit that description.   I worked with him for nine years and can tell you that my colleagues in Salt Lake and Massachusetts are as talented and incredible as any group of women in America.  

Mitt was recognized every year he was Governor for having more women in Cabinet and senior positions than any other Governor in the country. 

First rate leaders hire first rate people.  Second rate leaders hire third rate people. 

What would a second Obama term bring?  Tax Serfdom

It appears there is a new push by big cities to “share the wealth” meaning tax revenues from surrounding suburbs and using federal money to entice or blackmail the suburbs to agree.  The name for this takeover is “regionalism.” 



Political Ads
American Crossroads Operation Hot Mike

A good reminder of what is at stake


No words, just thoughts

A well done ad showing us what the country’s enduring.


Romney campaigns fights back

This rebuffs Obama’s claim Romney’s tax plan would cut taxes by $5 trillion and would result in a tax increase on the middle class.



Libyan US Officials wanted more security but it was decreased

Lt. Col. Wood has told CBS News and congressional investigators that his 16-member team and a six-member State Department elite force called a Mobile Security Deployment team left Libya in August, just one month before the Benghazi assault. Wood says that's despite the fact that US officials in Libya wanted security increased, not decreased.



Britain’s NHS:  The Future of Obamacare?

The Office for National Statistics figures also showed that: 

* as well as 43 people who starved to death, 287 people were recorded by doctors as being malnourished when they died in hospitals; 

* there were 558 cases where doctors recorded that a patient had died in a state of severe dehydration in hospitals; 

* 78 hospital and 39 care home patients were killed by bedsores, while a further 650 people who died had their presence noted on their death certificates; 

* 21,696 were recorded as suffering from septicemia when they died, a condition which experts say is most often associated with infected wounds.

This isn’t what the left tells you about when they hold up Europe as enlightened in their healthcare system


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