Obama’s
campaign: Why the election is really
over
Everyone seems to be saying that
this election is too close to call and right now Obama is slightly ahead. Nonsense.
First, Obama is not slightly
ahead. The polls that show Obama
with a slight lead, over sample Democrats.
In 2008, 6% more Democrats voted than Republicans and independents voted
for Obama with a 7% edge.
In today’s polls we find the Republicans
with an 10% lead among independents (a 17% swing) which means the oversampling
of Democrats is significant.
In 2010, the number of Democrats and
Republicans who voted was even. It was the lead among independents that
swept the Republicans into control of the House and the Republicans
actually won a greater percentage of the Senate races than they did the
House. Obama desperately needs his base
to turn out and to somehow turn the independents his way.
Obama knows he can’t win on his
record. His strategy comes down to “kill Romney.” After three months of heavy advertisement,
that plan hasn’t worked. Romney isn’t
dead and in fact if you correct for the oversampling of Democrats he’s ahead by
about 5%.
Obama
will continue to barrage the airwaves with negative ads.
Why will he do this when it hasn’t worked so far? If you’ve ever seen the movie “An Officer and a Gentleman,” you may
remember the scene where the gunnery sergeant is trying to get Zack Mayo to DOR
(drop on request). He spends the weekend
hazing Richard Gere’s character and keeps telling him he wants his DOR. Zack keeps saying “No.” Finally
he asks why he doesn’t take the easy way out and Maya says, “I’ve got nowhere
else to go.” Obama and the Democrats
are in the same position that Zack Mayo was in.
They have nowhere else to go but
negative.
But the Democrats won’t have the
airwaves to themselves like they did in 2008.
Romney has more money than Obama has and the SuperPacs for the
Republicans have much more money than the SuperPaks and the Unions do for the
Democrats.
It won’t work. Basically history shows you that economics in
politics is destiny. Carter was bound to
lose because of the inflation, unemployment (7.5%), etc. Bush 41 also lost because unemployment was
7.4 percent at the time of the 1992 election.
In addition to 8.3% unemployment, Obama has had nothing but trillion
dollar deficits since coming into office, huge losses in family wealth, and
enormous increases of people on food stamps and welfare.
The
War on Women
The Democrats are trying to
highlight what they call the "Republican war on women" at their convention.
Having Sandra Fluke talk to remind women their greatest achievement,
requiring even religious institutions to
provide free birth control thus saving women $9 per month. But the Democrats are hoping that the fact
that over 90% of the jobs lost during Obama’s term were women’s jobs and having
Bill Clinton and Caroline Kennedy talk doesn’t remind the women how the Kennedy men and President Clinton
treated women. And of course
defending abortion with no restrictions defends
abortion for sex selection with baby girls being the target of most of those
abortions.
Neil Armstrong dies
Neil
Armstrong, the first man to walk on the moon, died Saturday,
weeks after heart surgery and days after his 82nd birthday. I remember watching him step on the moon.
Obama’s Plans for a Second Term
Barack Obama has great plans for his second term: to bring his
golf handicap down to single digits and finally beat the pants off John
Boehner. Obama loves to delegate the
more tedious components of his duties (i.e., work)
The Democratic Playbook
Isn't it
straight out of the Democratic playbook to start with a kernel of truth about an opponent's views on economics and go off
on a riff, extrapolating wildly and
conjuring up an insinuation that Republicans want to bring back slavery?
Obama’s new Normal
Many of those
at Obama's events - like many people across the country - are not listening to him…. A number of those attending seemed only to want to get a picture of themselves with Obama speaking in the
background. Oh, how the mighty have
fallen.
Has Obama given up?
Republican presidential candidate Mitt
Romney accused President Obama on Saturday of giving up on trying to fix the
economy, saying he had "admitted defeat." Romney went on to say a
real leader finds a way to try even harder when things look bad.
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