Showing posts with label Obama's Pennsylvania Problem. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Obama's Pennsylvania Problem. Show all posts

Monday, February 13, 2012

2012 isn't going to be 2008 again

Hope has a new meaning
What’s new Today

Our #1 story tells of a radio talk show and how a caller framed what happened in 2008 and how he feels in 2012.  #2 gives us a heads up on what to expect from Obama’s budget.  #3 tells of how over the weekend a spokesman for the Obama administration told a story about the Senate that doesn’t jive with the facts.  Was he lying?  You be the judge.  #4 is a look at statistics that are flying around Washington and the internet.  Remember, statistic can lie and liars use statistics.  #5 shows Obama is still interested in investing your money in green technology—especially if it can get him some blue collar votes. 





1.  Obama’s fate

During a drive between the Mon Valley towns of McKeesport and Elizabeth, a man named Ray was overheard calling into a local radio station to talk about the subject of the hour: November’s presidential election.

The first thing he said is that he is a Democrat who voted for Barack Obama in 2008. Pressed by the talk-show host, he said he would not vote for Obama this time.

The rest of Ray’s answer was not unique or remarkable: Yes, he is a union member. Yes, he wanted Obama to succeed. And, yes, he is very disappointed after giving the president more than enough chances to prove he can lead.

Ray said he had finally given up….






The left pretends anyone who is against Obama is a racist.  In reality I think most Americans were hoping he would succeed and bring the country together.  What he’s done is to push us apart more than we’ve ever been. 





2.  What to Expect From Obama’s 2013 budget

We can expect that this will mark his fourth consecutive abdication of core obligations of his office.

We can expect a plan rich with red ink. In his 2010 budget, the president promised a deficit of $1.2 trillion (8 percent of GDP) and economic growth of 3.2 percent. The taxpayers got $1.3 trillion (9 percent of GDP) in additional debt and growth of barely 3 percent. He was just getting started. Fiscal 2011 brought a deficit of $1.3 trillion again (8.7 percent of GDP versus the budgeted amount of 8.3 percent), and growth of 1.7 percent — far short of the promised 3.8 percent. Last year’s budget planned for $1.1 trillion in deficits and growth of 3.6 percent. We don’t know the actual performance yet, but both numbers look optimistic. Now, the leaks indicate that the White House already intends to make the deficit bigger — a sobering step for an administration whose perennial budget strategy appears to be “promise bad, deliver worse.”

We can expect a plan devoid of leadership. Last year’s budget kicked to the gutter the recommendations of the president’s own fiscal-reform commission — the so-called Bowles-Simpson Commission — which had concluded that the United States faced a “moment of truth” that required tax reform, entitlement reform, and genuine leadership to steer us away from a Greek-style fiscal meltdown. The president took a pass in favor of a warmed-over stimulus package, shrugged his shoulders at the downgrade of the United States, and to date has delivered not one single piece of legislation to implement any piece of the Bowles-Simpson plan.

We can expect a budget that does a disservice to future seniors and needy Americans. The federal social safety net is tattered. Social Security is running $60 billion of red ink right now and is kept “solvent” only by the callous promise to cut future retirees’ benefits by 23 percent across the board during what is supposed to be their halcyon days. At present the gap between Medicare’s payroll taxes and premium receipts flowing into the Treasury and the checks going out totals a staggering $280 billion. With 10,000 new seniors entering the rolls every day, Medicare will fall under its own fiscal weight….


It’s pretty sad what we can expect from this president.  But he can expect from the American People a pink slip in November. 



3.  White House lies about Senate Budget Process

CROWLEY: “I want to read for our viewers something that Sen. Harry Reid, the Democrat Majority Leader in the U.S. Senate, who said, ‘We do not need to bring a budget to the floor this year. It’s done, we don’t need to do it.’”

LEW: “He’s not saying that they shouldn’t pass a budget. But we also need to be honest. You can’t pass a budget in the senate of the united states without 60 votes and you can’t get 60 votes without bipartisan support. So unless… unless Republicans are willing to work with Democrats in the Senate, Harry Reid is not going to be able to get a budget passed.”

This is patently false.

You can’t filibuster the budget. The Congressional Budget Act of 1974 stipulates that debate is automatically cut off after 50 hours of debate. At that point, a budget can be passed by a simple majority, 51 votes. Democrats currently hold 53 seats in the Senate. They can pass a budget on a simple party-line vote.

Lew, a former director of the Office of Management and Budget, surely knows this. While the Obama Administration has regularly plumbed the depths of managerial incompetence, even they can’t be this incompetent….


Over 1000 days during which the Democrats have controlled the Senate without passing a budget.  The only reason they won’t is because they don’t want to demonstrate that even the Democrats don’t support Obama’s budgets.  So they metaphorically vote “not present” by not voting at all on a budget.   The Washington Post looked at this and has awarded Lew’s comments 4 Pinocchios.






4.  Questionable Statistics in the Obamacare Mandate

…Senator Barbara Boxer (D., Calif.) released a statement claiming that Title X family-planning programs prevent over 400,000 abortions a year. However, this statistic comes from a flawed Guttmacher Institute analysis which assumes that, in the absence of these programs, women would be unable to find contraception of equal quality elsewhere and would not change their sexual activity. In reality, there is little evidence that the contraceptive mandate will be able to lower the incidence of abortion. A 2002 Guttmacher study of nearly 5,000 sexually active women not using contraception found that only 12 percent cited cost or availability as their reason for not using contraception. Furthermore, a recently released CDC study of 5,000 teenage girls who gave birth after unplanned pregnancies found that only 13 percent had trouble accessing birth control.

Additionally, many defenders of the HHS mandate have been citing a Guttmacher study from 2011 which claims that 98 percent of Catholic women have used birth control. This is misleading for several reasons. First, as social scientists know, categorizing people by their self identified religion can produce misleading results. If they had surveyed Catholic women who are active in their faith and attend Mass consistently, the results would have likely been different. Second, this statistic provides the percentage who have ever used birth control, not the percentage who currently or consistently use birth control. In fact, Guttmacher’s own findings indicate that when one analyzes current usage of contraception, the percentages decline…


As anyone who knows about statistic will attest, “statistics lie and liars use statistics.”  You need to read the fine print on any statistics that are put forward by liberals or conservatives. 



5.  Obama plans to use taxpayers’ money to raise his popularity

The White House intends to boost government subsidies for wealthy buyers of the Chevy Volt and other new-technology vehicles — to $10,000 per buyer.

That mammoth subsidy would cost taxpayers $100 million each year if it is approved by Congress, presuming only 10,000 new-technology autos are sold each year.

But the administration wants to get 1 million new-tech autos on the road by 2015. The subsidy cost of that goal could reach $10 billion.

The planned giveaway will likely prompt populist protests from GOP legislators, but it will likely also will be welcomed by auto-industry workers in the critical swing state of Michigan.

That welcome is critical for President Barack Obama, who is touting his support for blue-collar manufacturing programs to help offset his low public approval ratings.

The new subsidy level represents a 33 percent jump from the current $7,500 government payout for each Volt buyer, even though the Volt’s buyers are already among the wealthiest Americans. It will be offered to buyers of any new-technology autos, including battery-powered autos and cars


So Obama wants the rich to pay more taxes so he can give them back some of the money if they buy the things he wants them to buy.  SNAFU. 

Monday, October 17, 2011

Monday: Adult leadership

What’s new today

Our #1 story is about who are the adults in government these days.  It’s not Obama and the Senate but rather the Republican House which is actually tackling tough issues.  Article number 2 relates how on Friday, the Obama Administration let it be known that they were killing CLASS.  This was the provision in Obamacare which set up a insurance for long term care.  It seems that numbers wouldn’t work out.  Story #3 relates a growing problem Obama has in Pennsylvania explicitly and one that is actually much broader across the country.   Our fourth article comes from Britain where the National Health Service is seeing patients being put on the DNR (do not resuscitate list without personal or family agreement).  I guess death panels aren’t impossible in a democracy.  Our final posting is about Occupy Detroit which seems foolish since the Occupy movement is asking for more Detroits.







1.  Who are the Adults?


Let's take our eyes off the Republican presidential race for a minute and ask the question, where if anywhere are we getting adult leadership on major public policy issues this year?



The answer, I think, is WHERE THE FOUNDING FATHERS SEEM TO HAVE LEAST EXPECTED IT, FROM THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES, AND SPECIFICALLY FROM ITS REPUBLICAN LEADERS.



The Founders expected the House, with all its members elected directly by the people every two years, to be the flightiest branch of government, most susceptible to momentary enthusiasms and nostrums, in need of restraint from a Senate full of old-timers and a president gifted, they hoped, with the gravity of a George Washington.



But that's not exactly what we see in Washington today. IN CALENDAR YEAR 2011 WE HAVE SEEN SPEAKER JOHN BOEHNER AND HOUSE BUDGET COMMITTEE CHAIRMAN PAUL RYAN TAKING ON TOUGH ISSUES AND PROVIDING ADULT GUIDANCE WHEN OTHERS SEEM TO BE DOING THE OPPOSITE.



Certainly Barack Obama, touted as an instinctive bipartisan compromiser, has proven to be something like the opposite. True, on occasion he caves in to the opposition -- on extending the 2001-03 tax cuts last December, on rescinding an Environmental Protection Agency air quality regulation recently. But he does so grudgingly and with an eye obviously on election politics rather than on public policy….






Unfortunately this is not only true, it’s not even in doubt.  The Democrats enter in a fiscal crisis and their answer to it was two-fold.  Spend and “don’t let a crisis go to waste. 







2.   CLASS Fails:  The First Admitted Failure Of Obamacare



Now that one of ObamaCare's major new benefit programs has been scrapped, LIBERALS ARE TRYING TO MAKE STONE SOUP BY CLAIMING THAT THE OBAMA ADMINISTRATION MERELY COMMITTED AN ACT OF "GOOD GOVERNMENT." They claim that when this long-term care insurance program proved to be unworkable, the Administration conceded as much, and now it's gone. So let's review the evidence, not least because it so perfectly illustrates the recklessness that produced the Affordable Care Act.



When Democrats were pasting it together in 2009 and 2010, the immediate attraction of the program known by the acronym Class was that its finances could be gamed to create the illusion that a new entitlement would reduce the deficit. ENDING THE COMPLICATED CLASS BUDGET GIMMICK ERASES THE BETTER PART OF OBAMACARE'S PURPORTED "SAVINGS," but it's also worth focusing on the program's long-run political goals…



…The only reason the Health and Human Services Department pre-emptively called off this scheme is that former NEW HAMPSHIRE SENATOR JUDD GREGG SUCCEEDED IN INSERTING A PROVISO THAT REQUIRED THE CLASS PROGRAM'S REALITY TO MATCH DEMOCRATIC PROMISES AS A MATTER OF LAW. If HHS couldn't provide "an actuarial analysis of the 75-year costs of the program that ensures solvency throughout such 75-year period," it couldn't be legally implemented.



In other words, HHS HAD TO PROVE THAT THE CLASS PROGRAM WOULDN'T GO BROKE THE WAY IT WAS DESIGNED TO—AND ACTUARIAL ANALYSIS IS A MATTER OF MATH, NOT POLITICS. In a 48-page report that HHS submitted to Congress Friday, the department concedes that it is literally impossible to create any kind of long-term care program under the law's statutory text in which revenues match expenditures. SUCH A PLAN WOULD COST AS MUCH AS $3,000 PER MONTH, WHICH NO ONE WOULD EVER BUY….






Well at least in this case the Obama Administration actually followed the law. 





3.  Obama’s Pennsylvania Problem and Soon To Be National Problem



Minutes stretched on awkwardly after U.S. Labor Secretary Hilda Solis spoke to local Democrats. Yet that was less uncomfortable than one man's attempt to break the silence.

"LET'S GO OBAMA!" HE SHOUTED, CLAPPING LOUDLY.

NO RESPONSE.

It was a reaction you'd expect at a Republican rally — not from Pittsburgh unionists, elected Democrats and other party faithful gathered to support Barack Obama's jobs bill.

While the event's lackluster attendance might be attributed to poor planning (cardinal rule in politics: never book a room you can't fill), there is no excuse for Democrats' lack of applause for a Democrat president.

OBAMA HAS A PENNSYLVANIA PROBLEM, PARTICULARLY WITH WORKING-CLASS DEMOCRATS AND WOMEN WHO SUPPORTED HILLARY CLINTON IN 2008.

He eventually won them over (along with young people and blacks), beating Republican John McCain by nearly 10 points.

Today, not so much — largely based on LOSS OF TRUST.

Candidates know they can evoke strong negative feelings and still win back voters. BUT VOTERS' TRUST IS NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE TO RECOVER….




It’s a loss of confidence along with a loss of trust.  It would take a miracle for Obama to win reelection. 





 


 


 


 


4.  Elderly patients condemned to early death by secret use of do not resuscitate orders




Elderly patients are being condemned to an early death by hospitals making secret use of "do not resuscitate" orders, an investigation has found.

The orders – which record an advance decision that a patient's life should not be saved if their heart stops – are routinely being applied without the knowledge of the patient or their relatives.

On one ward, one-third of DNR orders were issued without consultation with the patient or their family, according to the NHS's own records. At another hospital, junior doctors freely admitted that the forms were filled out by medical teams without the involvement of patients or relatives….


Death Panels anyone?  I guess we know how the Europeans Health Care system is cheaper than ours. 



5.  Occupy Detroit?  Why? 

Detroit would seem an odd place for the Occupy movement. After, all, IT HAS ALREADY RECEIVED EVERYTHING THE 99 PERCENTERS ARE DEMANDING.

Want redistribution of wealth? For 40-odd years, Detroit has gotten tens of billions of dollars in welfare assistance, from the Great Society of Lyndon Johnson’s administration to Barack Obama’s Strong Cities Initiative.

Want good-paying jobs? Michigan is the notorious home of the Big Three automakers, who paid their workers a best-in-the-U.S. wage of $40 an hour — far above the average U.S. manufacturing wage of $15 an hour, resulting in blue-collar workers who often earned six-figure incomes….

….And yet on Friday, some 500 demonstrators from across Michigan descended on downtown Detroit to protest conditions here. They gathered at the Spirit of Detroit statue at the base of Woodward Avenue. They marched up Detroit’s main street past the gleaming new corporate headquarters of Quicken Loans and Compuware, past a sea of empty storefronts, past the corporate-sponsored sports complexes, to their destination: Grand Circus Park. They held signs reading “MAKE CAPITALISM EXTINCT” AND “THE PEOPLE ARE TOO BIG TO FAIL” AND “EAT THE RICH” WHILE CHANTING “GOOD JOBS NOW!” AND “TAX THE RICH!” AND “F— THE GOP!”

Unwittingly, however, they were protesting a Democratic-run city that represents the failure of their agenda.

The distribution of wealth? In addition to massive federal welfare payments, Detroit also levies the state’s highest property tax as well as its own income tax. Yet that hasn’t helped the poor. In fact, it has done the opposite — creating a fatherless city that leads the nation in crime, sports a NEARLY 50 PERCENT ADULT ILLITERACY RATE, AND GRADUATES JUST 24 PERCENT OF ITS STUDENTS FROM HIGH SCHOOL.

The good-paying jobs? THE GRAVITY-DEFYING WAGES OF THE UAW CRIPPLED GM AND CHRYSLER, FORCING THEM INTO THE VERY FEDERAL BAILOUTS THAT THE OCCUPY MOVEMENT DECRIES — $60 billion in federal loans that they, unlike Wall Street banks, have yet to fully pay back….


OWS protesters are like the two guys who decided to open a business.  They went into the countryside and bought strawberries for $1.00 per pound and then sold them in the city for $1.00 per pound.  After doing this for several weeks, the one man said to the other, “You know, we’ve been doing this for a while and haven’t made much money.  Do you have any ideas?”  The other man said, “I think we need a bigger truck.” 

OWS protesters are against the bailouts by government yet they are promoting the same government that bailed out Wall Street.  It appears they think the problem is they need a bigger truck (government).