Monday, April 23, 2012

A creaky Obama Machine

What’s new Today 

Story #1 talks about Obama’s biggest problem and it is the growth rate of the economy which is approximately ½ of what it traditionally should be.  #2 tells us why Obama’s favorability has dropped with young voters.  #3 posits that the Liberals are looking back to a time gone by both with low skill manufacturing jobs and college educations.  #4 is another look at the Pew Polls talking about the differences between Conservatives and Liberals.  #5 looks at who was the brains behind the attack on Ann Romney.  #6 is a mildly effective campaign ad about what would you do if you “wanted America to fail.”  #7 looks at Mitt Romney and finds him to be very smooth.  #8 looks at our News Organizations and asks the question, “are they out of their minds?” 

Today’s thoughts

Did you know that Obama only paid 23% tax of his 2010 total income?  His income was $1,795,614 so in 2010 he obviously didn’t pay is fair share!

With the warmer than average winter this year in the USA, people were talking about global warming.  With a record snowfall forecasted for the Northeast does that mean its global cooling now?

In the 2008 election there was evidence of ballot box stuffing by Democrats in Pennsylvania and Ohio.  John McCain went against advice and decided not to make an issue of it for the good of the country.

Who is the most televised first lady in history?  With 44 cameo appearance, Michelle Obama is the clear winner. 

1.  Obama’s 2.5% problem

Wall Street headlines are full of fears of a springtime stall for the already subpar economic recovery. And if that weren’t bad enough for Obama’s reelection chances, a spate of new polls show Mitt Romney’s economic-approval ratings are far outdistancing the president’s.

Even while the headline surveys basically show an Obama-Romney tossup, it will be very difficult for Obama to pull out a victory this fall. Traditionally, incumbents who poll below 50 percent are in trouble. And with Obama consistently in the mid-40s, he has a tough uphill climb ahead.

Of course, a subpar recovery has kept the president’s reelection hopes in doubt for some time. Former Bush economist Ed Lazear calls it the worst recovery in history. Okay. That may be a partisan shot. But actually, the data points bear this out.

At roughly 2.5 percent growth, the Obama recovery is way below the 4.5 percent average since World War II. And within Obama’s 2.5 percent economy, polling data show high voter anxiety over gas prices, home values, and the ability to pay mortgages. Voters even worry that they won’t be able to afford to send their kids to college.

The people will throw Obama and the Democrats out of power just as they did the Republicans 5 or so years ago.  And the Republicans will have 4 years to fix the problem.  Fortunately the will have energy to help them along.  The Democrats won’t do it because it violates the precepts of their base.  It is akin to the Nazi’s refusing to work on an Atomic Bomb because it was “Jewish” science.

2.  One in Two Graduates unemployed or underemployed

The college class of 2012 is in for a rude welcome to the world of work.

A weak labor market already has left half of young college graduates either jobless or underemployed in positions that don't fully use their skills and knowledge.

Young adults with bachelor's degrees are increasingly scraping by in lower-wage jobs — waiter or waitress, bartender, retail clerk or receptionist, for example — and that's confounding their hopes a degree would pay off despite higher tuition and mounting student loans.

An analysis of government data conducted for The Associated Press lays bare the highly uneven prospects for holders of bachelor's degrees.

Opportunities for college graduates vary widely.

While there's strong demand in science, education and health fields, arts and humanities flounder. Median wages for those with bachelor's degrees are down from 2000, hit by technological changes that are eliminating midlevel jobs such as bank tellers. Most future job openings are projected to be in lower-skilled positions such as home health aides, who can provide personalized attention as the U.S. population ages.

Taking underemployment into consideration, the job prospects for bachelor's degree holders fell last year to the lowest level in more than a decade.

"I don't even know what I'm looking for," says Michael Bledsoe, who described months of fruitless job searches as he served customers at a Seattle coffeehouse. The 23-year-old graduated in 2010 with a creative writing degree.

Initially hopeful that his college education would create opportunities, Bledsoe languished for three months before finally taking a job as a barista, a position he has held for the last two years. In the beginning he sent three or four resumes day. But, Bledsoe said, employers questioned his lack of experience or the practical worth of his major. Now he sends a resume once every two weeks or so…

I’m pretty sure Michael Bledsoe’s chief concern is that millionaires pay their fair share and that he has health insurance.

3.  Liberal Nostalgia and the Real World

The liberal nostalgiacs would like to see an economy that gives low-skill high school graduates similar opportunities. That’s what Barack Obama seems to be envisioning when he talks about hundreds of thousands of “green jobs.”

But those “green jobs” have not come into existence despite massive government subsidies and crony capitalism. It’s become apparent that the old Detroit model was unsustainable and cannot be revived even by the most gifted community organizer and adjunct law professor.

For one thing, in a rapidly changing and technologically advanced economy, the lifetime job seems to be a thing of the past. Particularly “lifetime” jobs where you work only 30 years and then get supported for the next 30 or so years of your life.

Today’s young people can’t expect to join large organizations and in effect ride escalators for the rest of their careers. The new companies emerging as winners in high tech — think Apple or Google — just don’t employ that many people, at least in the United States.

Similarly, today’s manufacturing firms produce about as large a share of the gross national product as they used to with a much smaller percentage of the labor force.

Moreover, there’s evidence that recent growth in some of the professions — the law, higher education — has been a bubble, and is about to burst,,.

This is a good follow on to the previous story.  The problems are systemic and rather than adjust to them, we are getting tired slogans about everyone should have a college education.  This represents vision in some people’s minds.  It isn’t.

4.  Liberals vs Conservative

…Pew’s new study echoes the results of many other reports and studies that show GOP supporters are better educated, more empathetic and more open to criticism than Democrats.

A March 12 Pew study showed that Democrats are far more likely that conservatives to disconnect from people who disagree with them.

“In all, 28% of liberals have blocked, unfriended, or hidden someone on SNS [social networking sites] because of one of these reasons, compared with 16% of conservatives and 14% of moderates,” said the report, titled “Social networking sites and politics.”

The report also noted that 11 percent of liberals, but only 4 percent of conservatives, deleted friends from their social networks after disagreeing with their politics.

A March Washington Post poll showed that Democrats were more willing to change their views about a subject to make their team look good. For example, in 2006, 73 percent of Democrats said the GOP-controlled White House could lower gas prices, but that number fell by more than half to 33 percent in 2012 once a Democrat was in the White House.

In contrast, the opinions of GOP supporters were more consistent. Their collective opinion shifted by only a third, according to the data. In 2006, 47 percent in believed the White House could influence gas prices. By 2012, that number had risen to 65 percent up 17 points compared to the Democrats’ 40 point shift.

Not really surprising unless you are a liberal.  But if you are, I’m sure you won’t read my blog again. 

5.  Was Michelle Obama behind the Ann Romney attack?

Political sources revealed to The ENQUIRER that MICHELLE OBAMA brain-stormed the scheme to sic a pit bull strategist on the GOP contender’s wife ANN ROMNEY and it backfired!

Talking head Hilary Rosen set off a firestorm when she mocked Mitt Romney for relying on his wife for advice on the economy, sniping that Ann – who raised five sons, has battled breast cancer and suffers from mul­tiple sclerosis – “never worked a day in her life!”

Rosen was forced to apologize, say­ing her words were “poorly chosen.” Even President Obama got into the act, saying there’s “no tougher job than being a mom.”

A publicly sympathetic Michelle, 48, tapped out a message on Twitter, writing: “Every mother works hard, and every woman deserves to be re­spected.” But behind the scenes, her fingerprints were all over the scandal, said an inside source.

Michelle had her claws out to get Ann, but it quickly backfired and Barack was livid when he heard she had secretly directed the attack,” said the source.

“What Michelle didn’t remember was that when Barack was running for president, he told ABC’s ‘Good Morning America’ that it was unfair to attack Michelle, saying his wife was off limits. Here they were, however, doing the same thing to Romney’s wife four years later.

“But even though Michelle was the instigator, the political grenade blew up in the president’s face.”..

It looks like Michelle may not be proud of her country in this election.

6.  What would you do if you wanted America to fail?

A predictable, but very effective political ad.

7.   How smooth is Mitt Romney?

Mitt Romney slowly but surely is showing how he will turn Barack Obama into a one-term president: One block at a time. At a Republican retreat in Arizona, Mitt Romney made the case against President Obama. Nothing personal, just business.

Indeed, Mitt Romney went out of his way to compliment the guy: “I think he’s a nice person. I just don’t think we can afford him any longer.”

That is smooth.

You don’t have to be in full attack mode 24/7.

Romney is not playing to the base. Obama is. The candidate who plays to the base the most loses. You have to reach out. Not just for votes but to disarm the other side and make them more at ease with staying at home on November 6….

As Obama and the Democrats turn up the negativity, Romney gives America an excuse to get rid of Obama without feeling racist.  This is smooth and effective.   Nothing personal here, just taking care of business. 

8.  Have Our News Organizations Gone Crazy?

I wrote here about MSNBC’s campaign to tie the Koch brothers to George Zimmerman’s shooting of Trayvon Martin. That effort was, it is fair to say, insane, but it apparently inspired one or more liberals to take MSNBC’s theories a step farther. Someone wrote–I think it was on Facebook–that Koch Industries had paid for Zimmerman’s legal defense and/or put up his bail money. Other liberals happily repeated the claim, to the point where Snopes deemed it a rumor worth addressing.

The claim is not only false, but entirely baseless and, in fact, stupid. There is no connection whatsoever between Koch Industries or the Koch brothers and George Zimmerman. None. Further, while the Koch brothers have championed a number of libertarian causes, gun rights have not been among them. In the one instance where Koch Industries is known to have lobbied on a firearms issue, it was against a proposed liberalization of firearms laws in Florida. And the brothers have no history of participating in the defense of criminal defendants. …

It is a shame that many on the left want to attribute anything they find suspicious to either Fox News or the Koch Brothers. This not only makes them sound foolish, it makes them sound paranoid.

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