Sunday, April 22, 2012

What’s new Today 

Story #1 asks what the 2012 election will be like and finds two scenarios.  #2 has some of the reasons leftists are giving for supporting BHO.  It’s getting really strange out there.  #3 relates a superpac for the Republicans appears to be on its way to gathering $250 million for this year’s election.  #4 is another look at the budget-less Senate.  #5 shows that even six months from the election, we are seeing democrats beginning to dump Obamacare.  #6 has an article about Alan Dershowitz and his condemnation of the indictment of George Zimmerman. #7 tells that Mia Love is a name you will be hearing a lot more about.  Finally #8 shows the stupidity of the green movement in this country. 

Today’s thoughts

There’s a lot of speculation that Joe Manchin, the Senator from West Virginia, may be looking to switch parties.  Obama has taken the Democrats so far to the right, that this may be imperative if he wants to hang on to his job.

If you wonder why John Corzine is not under arrest, I think we know why.  I appears he is still bundling funds for BHO’s reelection campaign. 

The CBO has warned us that Obama’s 2013 budget would hurt the economy.  They estimate in 5 years growth would be .5 to 2.2 percent less as a result of it.


1.   What will 2012 Election be like?

Here’s how Reuters recently summed up the race for the White House: “The 2012 presidential election is more than six months away, but here is what we know so far: It is going to be close, it is going to be nasty, and the outcome could turn on a series of unpredictable events.” The argument that followed was balanced and intelligent, and nicely captured today’s conventional wisdom.

But the conventional wisdom may well be wrong. We don’t in fact “know” that the election will be close. Nor do we know that it will be nasty, or that it will turn on unpredictable events. To the contrary, if I had to put money down now, I’d bet that Mitt Romney will win an easy victory after a relatively predictable, issue-focused, and not-too-nasty campaign. Indeed, I’d bet Romney will win precisely if he runs such a campaign. But if he allows the race to degenerate into name-calling and gotcha gimmicks, he could lose. Democrats are better than Republicans at the small and nasty stuff.

I do think it will be nasty on the Democrats side.  But I agree with Kristol that if Romney stays on message using ads highlighting Obama’s words, he wins by at least as much as Obama did in 2008.

2.  Support for Obama Turning Bizarre

Without any actual accomplishments to tout for President Barack Obama and with attacks on his rival, Mitt Romney, backfiring, the dwindling group of supporters of the president is starting to come up with bizarre reasons to re-election him.

Chris Matthews, the MSNBC host who used to get leg tingles thinking about Obama, suggests we should ignore the advice of Martin Luther King Jr. and judge him by the color of his skin and not the content of his character, according to Real Clear Politics.

Sen. Barbara Boxer, D-Calif., adds we should vote for the re-election of the president for the sake of the ladies, according to Breitbart.

Former Republican Gov. of Florida Charlie Crist says the president is a "centrist worthy of admiration," as reported by Buzzfeed.

On the other hand, current Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin of West Virginia is reported by the Washington Post as unsure whether he will vote for the president of his own party. Meanwhile the president is facing an open revolt from his own party on the Keystone XL pipeline, according to the Washington Examiner. Rep. Barney Frank, D-Mass., who is retiring, has opined that on second thought, health care reform was not such a great idea after all, Forbes reports.

Political prognostication is a tricky business for a pundit who lacks psychic powers. But all of this seems to point toward impending doom for the president's chances of reelection. If Obama has not done anything that merits four more years and if Romney is not convincingly the anti-Christ, what is there left? …

I think these past two articles tell a story that will become more evident as we get closer to November.  Obama will not win reelection.


3.  Crossroad group on track for $250 million in 2012

American Crossroads and Crossroads GPS have combined to raise $100 million since the beginning of 2011, a group spokesman told The Hill on Friday.

It's a huge haul for the GOP-affiliated outside groups that makes even most presidential fundraising look paltry by comparison, and highlights the influence the two groups are likely to have in this year's election.

The figure includes $49 million raised in the last three months, a sign that the groups should have no problem hitting their targeted goal of raising and spending $250 million on the election.

American Crossroads, the super-PAC side of the group, has nearly $25 million cash on hand, more than double the amount Mitt Romney has in the bank. Crossroads GPS, which is technically an issue advocacy group that does not have to say who its donors are, did not divulge how much money it has saved…

This isn’t good news if you are in a battleground state.  Stand by for political commercials from morning til night in September and October.


4.  Conrad, the Senate, and a Budget

Sen. Kent Conrad of North Dakota is the chairman of the Senate Budget Committee. That means he’s the Democratic point man for the absolutely essential work of not coming up with a budget.

Conrad has occasionally gone wobbly. Sometimes he has sounded dangerously close to betraying the cause that his party has entrusted to him.

A couple of weeks ago, the senator went on national TV to say he was going to have his committee “mark up” what he called a “10-year plan” — i.e., a budget. After briefly flirting with this treachery, Conrad came back to his senses and recommitted himself to his duty to remain resolutely budget-less.

He didn’t hold a markup at all, which is the time-honored process by which a bill is debated, amended and voted on. Conrad dispensed with all such fluff and minutiae. He offered his own plan, loosely based on the work of the Bowles-Simpson deficit-reduction commission, shot down any foolishness about amending or voting, and pronounced himself well-pleased. Despite the angst he had caused with his loose talk, Conrad had delivered yet again — by not delivering a budget.

If this seems an easy, almost no-show job to you, think again.

There are two varieties of budgetary boldness. There’s bold like Republican House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan. This involves passing out of committee detailed budget resolutions that go on to pass the entire chamber and to spark a full and frank debate about the nation’s fiscal future.

Then there’s Kent Conrad boldness. This involves having the fortitude to defend doing nothing with threadbare rationalizations and weaselly misdirections….

The democrats hope to demonize the Republicans for having a plan they don’t like, while avoiding holding any position themselves.  Generally this works in congress, but with trillion dollar deficits, I don’t think this is a winning strategy.


5.  Democrats begin to desert Obamacare

Perhaps Democrats know something the rest of us don't about Barack Obama's political fortunes. What else explains the increasing numbers who are openly defying the president on two key election issues?

The notoriously thin-skinned Obama could not have been happy with the news last week that, as the Hill newspaper put it, "an increasing number of Democrats are taking potshots at President Obama's health care law."

North Carolina's Brad Miller, who voted for the law, now laments that "we would all have been better off" if Congress had dealt with more pressing issues "and then came back to health care."

Barney Frank complained that the Democrats "paid a terrible price for health care." And Virginia's outgoing Sen. Jim Webb said the law would be Obama's "biggest downside" in the election and had cost him "a lot of credibility as a leader."

Meanwhile, stalwart Massachusetts liberal Elizabeth Warren is now calling to repeal a piece of ObamaCare — the 2.3% tax on medical devices — because, she says, it "disproportionately impacts the small companies with the narrowest financial margins."

Warren, by the way, is running for the Senate seat occupied by Republican Scott Brown, whose victory in 2010 was a result of the public's intense opposition to ObamaCare.

Former Alabama Rep. Artur Davis went furthest. "I think the Affordable Care Act is the single least popular piece of major domestic legislation in the last 70 years," he said. "It was not popular when it passed; it's less popular now." Ouch….

When this starts happening, Obama should be looking at where he wants to retire to.


6.  Dershowitz Blasts Zimmerman Prosecution

With ABC News’ release of the George Zimmerman photo showing blood flowing freely from his head, the question becomes whether Angela Corey, the prosecutor in the case, had access to the photo before charging Zimmerman with second-degree murder.

The arrest affidavit did not mention the photograph, or the bleeding, gashes, and bruises on Zimmermans’ head. Professor Alan Dershowitz of Harvard Law School stated upon release of the arrest affidavit that it was “so thin that it won’t make it past a judge on a second degree murder charge … everything in the affidavit is completely consistent with a defense of self-defense.”

After the release of the photo, however, Dershowitz went much further, telling Breitbart News that if the prosecutors did have the photo and didn’t mention it in the affidavit, that would constitute a “grave ethical violation,” since affidavits are supposed to contain “all relevant information.”

Dershowitz continued, “An affidavit that willfully misstates undisputed evidence known to the prosecution is not only unethical but borders on perjury because an affiant swears to tell not only the truth, but the whole truth, and suppressing an important part of the whole truth is a lie."

Trayvon Martin’s case is one that is probably going to end up with riots.  The left leaning press is setting that up if Zimmerman is found not guilty. 

7.  Mia Love Wins Republican Nomination in Utha’s 4th District

Mia Love pulled a major upset on Saturday, winning the Republican Party nomination in Utah’s 4th District, advancing to face U.S. Rep. Jim Matheson in November.

“Today we have an opportunity to do something very special. Today we can start breaking a pattern,” Love exhorted delegates before the final vote. “Today we can start bringing Jim Matheson home. Elect one nominee today, so we can take this fight to Jim Matheson tomorrow.”

Love won 70.4 percent of the vote from the delegates while Wimmer captured 29.6 percent.

Wimmer, a co-founder of the Patrick Henry Caucus, focused on states rights, had campaign for the office for more than a year, resigning his legislative seat to make his bid. He had broad legislative backing, the endorsement of Sen. Mike Lee, and the backing of legislators and Attorney General Mark Shurtleff.

But Love, the mayor of Saratoga Springs, had said coming into the convention that she was the front-runner.

With the endorsement of her competitors — former Rep. Stephen Sandstrom and attorney Jay Cobb — and the backing of Mitt Romney’s son, Josh Romney, she managed to muster the 60 percent threshold needed to avoid a primary.

If elected to Congress, Love, the daughter of Haitian immigrants, would be the only black Republican woman in Congress…

I expect the Democrats to pour money into Matheson’s campaign.  The Democrats can’t afford to have an articulate black woman who is the daughter of immigrants as a Republican in Congress.  It sends to wrong message to other black Americans, that is, that there are alternatives to the Democratic Party.

8.  Stupidity and the Green Movement

Writing for Forbes Magazine, climate change alarmist Steve Zwick calls for skeptics of man-made global warming to be tracked, hunted down and have their homes burned to the ground, yet another shocking illustration of how eco-fascism is rife within the environmentalist lobby.

Comparing climate change skeptics to residents in Tennessee who refused to pay a $75 fee, resulting in firemen sitting back and watching their houses burn down, Zwick rants that anyone who actively questions global warming propaganda should face the same treatment.

“We know who the active denialists are – not the people who buy the lies, mind you, but the people who create the lies. Let’s start keeping track of them now, and when the famines come, let’s make them pay. Let’s let their houses burn. Let’s swap their safe land for submerged islands. Let’s force them to bear the cost of rising food prices,” write Zwick, adding, “They broke the climate. Why should the rest of us have to pay for it?”…

It appears this warmist feels he is qualified to be judge, jury and executioner.  These people are dangerous.  

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